I mostly agree with the points raised above. That said, I still believe that Blue Curve 1 is best. One point that’s missing from the discussion above is how the current PoW inflation rate is vastly higher than all proposed PoS reward rates. If all you care about is price, you would expect to see its increase regardless of staking rate.
I approach the supply curve problem from a psychological perspective. Simply put, higher staking rewards are far more attractive; anything less than 2% and users may simply ignore staking as it is perceived as pointless.
Looking 10 years into the future, the % rate for curve #1 is 1,87 whereas curve #2 is 1,48%. From a purely psychological standpoint this difference of 0,39% is mostly irrelevant: I do not believe it will change anyone’s decision wrt staking. Both curves reach parity in 2040 at a rate of 1.15%. At this point curve #1 will output less than #2, sure, but the difference (in absolute terms) remains meagre 0.24% in 2050.
It is of course important to think of the future. However if Nimiq is still relevant in the year 2050, let alone 2100, there must have been huge societal and cultural shifts that are
more or less impossible to predict. What ‘staking’ means in 2050 will be vastly different to our own understanding. As such we should focus on the here and now as it is, at the very least, understandable.
The shift to Nimiq 2.0 is an event in and of itself. It should be celebrated. This is when we want all eyes in the world to turn on ourselves. An initial reward rate of around 4% will help with that.